The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has become the talk of the world since the first strike that took place in October last year. As the Israel and Palestine conflict keeps burgeoning every day, the world is worrying over the possibility of a war lingering in the air as Hezbollah enters the picture.
The paramilitary organisation based in Lebanon, Hezbollah has grown to become a trained force of more than a lakh soldiers who are in an abundance of financial and military resources. However, the scale of attacks between the group and Israel has been low in the beginning. But now the intensity is increasing day by day, leaving the world in peril of a potential war.
So what are the likely scenarios of this could-be-a-war situation between Israel and Lebanon? Let us analyse the possibilities one by one.
Potential Scenario 1
The USA and its allied nations are trying everything in their power to diffuse the tension between these involved parties as it will have global economic implications. If the US’s diplomatic endeavours bring the expected results, the risk of potential war will diminish to a great extent. As Lebanon and Israel will have to face huge collateral damages, both powers might reconsider their options.
Potential Scenario 2
There is also a possibility of a small-scale scenario between these two nations, one led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the other by Hezbollah. Although the chances of it spreading beyond the Southern Lebanon region are rare, one should be ready for anything now. The reason behind this step will be to take their citizens in confidence that they stand strong.
Potential Scenario 3
It is the most troubling scenario of all where a wider region of the world will be a part of. This all-out war situation will encompass not only Israel but also the allied powers of Hezbollah including Yemen-based Houthis and the Shia armed forces of Iraq. It will certainly result in loss of lives and damage of property along with Houthis derailing global maritime routes.
Conclusion
All these scenarios are possible and none of them can be rejected without consideration. It worries the United States of America and other Western nations that they are working on their peace efforts on a war footing. Because we all want a world without any war tension. But the main questions remain unanswered. Can any of these scenarios play out peacefully in real life? What are their implications and chances of failure? Know everything in detail in this article here.
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